Scientists say that number is growing even larger. At the same time, wildfires are burning more acres than ever before. The nine largest wildfire seasons since reliable records begin have occurred since 2005. Nick Mott, editor of the Montana Public Radio podcast, Fireline, sat down with NPR to talk about the role climate change is playing in the west's worsening fire seasons. NOTE: This interview has been edited and condensed for clarity. Fire season is getting longer because of climate change? People who study the natural world say it is. Like Cathy Whitlock, a paleoecologist at Montana State University . "I would say 95% of it's climate driven," she told me. That 95% number is definitely the subject of lots of debate. But she thinks it's the right number because she's been looking back at thousands of years of climate history. Whitlock goes out on lakes, and then drills way down into the mud at their bottoms and pulls out these long core samples, because when wildfires burn, they deposit ash and charcoal on lakes, which settles down into the mud - so those cores contain records of wildfires going back thousands of years. She says the record shows that there is always more fire when the climate is warmer. "When you have warmer winters you have less snowpack," she said. "Snow turns to rain. Earlier in the year, the snowpack that you get melts off faster and so you're left with less water in your high elevations as you go into summer." Montana Wildfire Fight Draws Help From Other States Another researcher who looks at those lake mud samples is Phil Higuera, a professor of fire ecology at the University of Montana , and he just published "Rocky Mountain subalpine forests now burning more than any time in recent millennia." "For most of my career, when we look at the past, kind of in a comforting way, we see that, oh, these things that are unusual in the human timescale, they've happened before," Higuera said.https://www.npr.org/2021/07/27/1019898087/climate-change-wildfires
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For a long time, new hires were confronted with a daunting set of options for 401(k) and other retirement plans. And humans (being humans) suffered from problems with delayed gratification and cognitive overload from too many choices. They failed to voluntarily select savings rates and investment plans that would leave them with a solid nest egg for retirement. Thaler, equipped with the insight that people tend to stick with the default option given to them, pushed organizations to automatically enroll people in sensible retirement plans. Research from Vanguard finds that participation rates in retirement plans more than triple when companies automatically enroll new hires — with 91% of new hires participating in a retirement plan when they're automatically signed up, versus only 28% participating when they have to put in the effort to sign up themselves. If people were super-rational, such a nudge wouldn't be necessary — but these huge effects prove why behavioral economics is so important. Since the coronavirus pandemic began, governments and companies around the world have had to think creatively about how to nudge people to wear masks, socially distance and get vaccinated. And we've seen a lot of creative campaigns that adopt strategies outlined in Nudge. An example is appealing to people's identities when promoting a desired behavior. I saw a great example of this last year when I was in a small town in Wyoming, the "Cowboy State." I went into a Subway to get a sandwich, and I saw an image of a cowboy with a mask that made him look like a badass bandit. "Mask Up Wyoming," the sign said. Another idea found in Nudge is to use lotteries to encourage people to do stuff. People, despite the extreme odds against winning anything, love them. And we've seen a number of states using vaccination as the entry ticket to potentially win lotteries. Governors in those states have been declaring the strategy to be a resounding success . Thaler says he thinks many governments and companies have done a good job of using nudge strategies to get people vaccinated. But over 40% of Americans remain unjabbed.https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2021/07/27/1020966312/the-behavioral-economics-manifesto-gets-revised